Categories
Elham's Money View Blog

Is Libra Money? Depends on Where in Credit Cycle We Are

By Elham Saeidinezhad

“What institutions build, they can destroy.” Anonymous

Mark Zuckerberg’s testimony to Congress on October 24th, 2019, created anxieties on whether Facebook would circumvent financial regulators as it readies its planned cryptocurrency, Libra. This concern by policymakers was logical, given the magnitude of the 2008-09 global financial crisis and its effects on the international monetary system. The company’s promise to move forward with Libra only when they had explicit approval from all U.S. financial regulators seem to calm some of those fears. However, a more fundamental enigma at the heart of Libra is a classical puzzle in monetary economics of what is the nature of “money” and its relationship with the payment system. When examining Libra, we have too often overlooked the fact that although the medium of exchange and the means of payments coincide with each other when the financial condition is stable, they are not the same. In doing so, we have lost some valuable insights into Libra’s state during a financial crisis.

To shed some light on this mystery, let’s start by focusing on the technical definition of the monetary system, which is money plus the settlement mechanisms to execute payments. In mainstream economic literature, the focus is totally on money and its role as a “medium of exchange.” Therefore, as long as people “trust” Libra and use it to purchase goods and services, the monetary system should work seamlessly. During economic and credit expansion, when the financial market is elastic, mainstream interpretation of the monetary system seems to work. The problem is that during the financial crisis, guaranteeing this trust is a complicated task. Under these circumstances, the precondition for a well-functioning monetary system is the trust that payments will be executed, and the object functioning as a medium of exchange is convertible to the means of final payments.

This condition has substantial implications for the position of Libra in the future financial crisis.  On the one hand, alongside regulatory agencies, central banks’ role in backstopping the payment system becomes critical in securing convertibility and trust. On the other hand, Libra is a decentralized currency that is issued by private entities. Therefore, when confidence evaporates in the financial market, it is very likely that Libra cannot be converted to the means of final payments unless it receives a public bailout. The hiccup is that in the process of understanding Libra as a form of money, we have too often ignored the more intangible aspect of the monetary system- the payment system. The danger is that the public will pay the bill.

Discussion Questions:

  1. In your opinion, why do standard economic theories tend to overlook payment systems in their models?
  2. What is the prerequisite for Libra to continue its function as a currency when a severe financial crisis hit the economy?
Categories
Elham's Money View Blog

Quantitative Easing: No Words to Describe It

By Elham Saeidinezhad

“Words have no power to impress the mind without the exquisite horror of their reality.” – Edgar Allan Poe

The experience of the global financial crisis (GFC) was a painful reminder that central banks were not equipped to save the modern financial markets from failing. To this end, the Fed reimagined its role by employing “unconventional tools” to restore market liquidity and stopping the freefall. While the Fed used to flush the banking system with liquidity in earlier crises, it was engaged in the outright purchases of long-term government bonds and mortgage-backed securities (MBS) during the GFC. This procedure was later known as ‘’Quantitative Easing” or QE. Similarly, to respond to the most recent turbulences in the repo market, the Fed has started the same kind of operations by purchasing short-dated government bills from September. The difference, however, is their resistance to label this procedure as a QE.

The experience of the global financial crisis (GFC) was a painful reminder that central banks were not equipped to save the modern financial markets from failing. To this end, the Fed reimagined its role by employing “unconventional tools” to restore market liquidity and stopping the freefall. While the Fed used to flush the banking system with liquidity in earlier crises, it was engaged in the outright purchases of long-term government bonds and mortgage-backed securities (MBS) during the GFC. This procedure was later known as ‘’Quantitative Easing” or QE. Similarly, to respond to the most recent turbulences in the repo market, the Fed has started the same kind of operations by purchasing short-dated government bills from September. The difference, however, is their resistance to label this procedure as a QE.

Regardless of whether or not to call it a QE, the seismic shift in the Fed’s role away from being a lender of last resort to the banks towards the dealer of last resort in the capital market continues a decade after the GFC. This new role of the Fed reflects the evolving nature of the financial market where liquidity provision has shifted from the business model of the large banks to nonbanks. These nonbanks, who are collectively known as ‘’shadow banking system,” are mostly dealers who are financing their long term investments in the capital market by borrowing in the wholesale money market using short term instruments such as repo.

Capturing this evolution is a welcome development in the world of central banking. The point is that QE is a new normal way of executing monetary policy and is better-adjusted to deal with fluctuations in the financial system. Against this background, it seems like we have to start calling the asset-purchasing program of the Fed what it is: a permanent tool of implementing monetary policy. This task of reimaging central banking has been long overdue, and QE is a first step in the right direction. Besides, it is here to stay.

Discussion Questions:

1. What is the main difference between the Fed’s QE and the new round of asset purchasing program?

2. Do you think the Fed should react to liquidity problems outside the traditional banking system?

3. Do you think the growth of the shadow banking system in the financial market should be curbed using financial regulations?

Categories
About Me

Elham Saeidinezhad, Ph.D.

I am a Term Assistant Professor of Economics at Barnard College, Columbia University. I also teach “The Financial System,” also called modern Money and Banking, at Economics Department, NYU Stern. In addition to my teaching commitments, I am a “Market Structure Research Fellow” at Jain Family Institute. In this fellowship, I examine the research from major financial institutions, monitor the shifts in financial market structures, and write about their implications for financial stability and the future of central banking. In the world of online teaching platforms, I can be found as an instructor for the “Introduction to Macroeconomics” course at the Outlier where I teach three chapters on International Finance, Economics of Money and Credit, and Central Banking.

Before joining Barnard College, I have been a lecturer of Economics at the UCLA  Economics Department, a research economist in the International Finance and Macroeconomics research group at Milken Institute, Santa Monica, and a postdoctoral fellow at the Institute for New Economic Thinking (INET), New York. I supervised undergraduate students and taught Money and Banking, Macroeconomic Theory, and Monetary Economics at UCLA. At Milken Institute, I investigated the post-crisis structural changes in the capital market as a result of macroprudential regulations. As a postdoctoral fellow, I worked closely with Prof. Perry Mehrling and studied his “Money View,” a framework that examines the realities of the modern monetary system based on the models of market microstructure. The central focus of the framework is liquidity. I obtained my Ph.D. from the University of Sheffield, UK, in empirical Macroeconomics in 2013.

My recent research lies at the intersection of Monetary Theory, and Financial Economics, with particular attention to liquidity and financial engineering. My research design is to apply the Money View, which synthesizes the modern features of our monetary and financial system, to examine the evolution of the financial market. I also write a weekly Money View Column for the Institute for New Economic Thinking (INET) Economic Questions website. Moreover, I love teaching, and I love my students. I teach courses such as Monetary Economics, Central Banking, Money and Banking, Financial Economics, Microeconomics, and Macroeconomics. I am excited about educating my students and debating ideas with them. I believe I have learned more from my students than from anyone else.

I can be reached via email <elham.saeidinezhad@gmail.com> , <esaeidin@barnard.edu>, <elham.saeidinezhad@stern.nyu.edu> , <elham.saeidinezhad@jfiresearch.org>, LinkedIn and Twitter <@elham_saeidi>